tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 49%

  1. 14:32 STL → 15:59 ORD
    AA 3815 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 28m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:45 ORD → 19:59 CLT
    AA 1683 · American · 2h 14m · 75% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 27mSTL 14:32 to CLT 19:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.