tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Pittsburgh via Chicago: arrives on time 61%

  1. 14:32 STL → 15:59 ORD
    AA 3815 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 28m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 ORD → 21:30 PIT
    AA 4569 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 47m · 71% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 1 h ahead of St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 121 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 46m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 00mSTL 14:32 to PIT 21:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.