tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Miami via Washington: arrives on time 69%

  1. 07:00 XNA → 10:39 DCA
    AA 3824 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 39m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:44 DCA → 16:29 MIA
    AA 2915 · American · 2h 45m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 29mXNA 07:00 to MIA 16:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.