tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Miami via Phoenix: arrives on time 66%

  1. 18:16 TUL → 18:54 PHX
    AA 3826 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 38m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 PHX → 05:22 MIA +1 day
    AA 2205 · American · 4h 22m · 68% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip10h 06mTUL 18:16 to MIA 05:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.