tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Los Angeles via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 32%

  1. 20:20 TUL → 21:44 DFW
    AA 3830 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 24m · 70% on time, 8.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:31 DFW → 23:45 LAX
    AA 1504 · American · 3h 14m · 61% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (8.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 25mTUL 20:20 to LAX 23:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.