tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Austin via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 36%

  1. 20:20 TUL → 21:44 DFW
    AA 3830 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 24m · 70% on time, 8.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 DFW → 23:51 AUS
    AA 1588 · American · 1h 03m · 57% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (8.0% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip3h 33mTUL 20:20 to AUS 23:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.