tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Denver via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 28%

  1. 20:20 TUL → 21:44 DFW
    AA 3830 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 24m · 70% on time, 8.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 DFW → 23:55 DEN
    AA 662 · American · 2h 10m · 44% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (8.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip4h 35mTUL 20:20 to DEN 23:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.