tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Las Vegas via Tucson: arrives on time 84%

  1. 07:15 PHX → 08:07 TUS
    AA 3831 · American, flown by Envoy · 52m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 38m layover in Tucson (TUS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:45 TUS → 12:05 LAS
    WN 1097 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 68 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 38m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip4h 50mPHX 07:15 to LAS 12:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.