tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Salt Lake City via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 25%

  1. 18:45 XNA → 20:15 DFW
    AA 3837 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 30m · 59% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 DFW → 22:59 SLC
    AA 2993 · American · 2h 49m · 47% on time, 6.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (6.2% are) and within 15 minutes (47%).
Total trip5h 14mXNA 18:45 to SLC 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.