tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Minneapolis via Fayetteville/Springdale/: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:46 ORD → 08:44 XNA
    AA 3839 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 58m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 08m layover in Fayetteville/Springdale/ (XNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:52 XNA → 13:50 MSP
    DL 3536 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 58m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 08m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 04mORD 06:46 to MSP 13:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.