tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New York via Fayetteville/Springdale/: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:46 ORD → 08:44 XNA
    AA 3839 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 58m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Fayetteville/Springdale/ (XNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:57 XNA → 14:03 LGA
    AA 4620 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 06m · 90% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 17mORD 06:46 to LGA 14:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.