tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 55%

  1. 09:14 XNA → 11:11 ORD
    AA 3839 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 57m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:00 ORD → 15:08 CLT
    AA 2681 · American · 2h 08m · 76% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 54mXNA 09:14 to CLT 15:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.