tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Salt Lake City via Chicago: arrives on time 69%

  1. 09:14 XNA → 11:11 ORD
    AA 3839 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 57m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:33 ORD → 16:03 SLC
    AA 2780 · American · 3h 30m · 72% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 49mXNA 09:14 to SLC 16:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.