Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 61%

  1. 09:14 XNA → 11:11 ORD
    AA 3839 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 57m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 49m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:00 ORD → 18:12 DCA
    UA 1941 · United · 2h 12m · 66% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 139 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 49m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip7h 58mXNA 09:14 to DCA 18:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.