tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 77%

  1. 09:14 XNA → 11:11 ORD
    AA 3839 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 57m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 ORD → 15:29 MSP
    AA 4727 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 49m · 82% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 18 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 15mXNA 09:14 to MSP 15:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.