tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Washington via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 54%

  1. 15:57 XNA → 17:26 DFW
    AA 3840 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 29m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 34m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 DFW → 23:59 DCA
    AA 2077 · American · 2h 59m · 64% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 109 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 34m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip7h 02mXNA 15:57 to DCA 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.