tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 76%

  1. 05:30 MCI → 07:31 ORD
    AA 3845 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 01m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:51 ORD → 14:30 JFK
    AA 4350 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 39m · 85% on time, 10.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (10.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 00mMCI 05:30 to JFK 14:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.