tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Raleigh/Durham via Chicago: arrives on time 86%

  1. 05:30 MCI → 07:31 ORD
    AA 3845 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 01m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:18 ORD → 11:38 RDU
    AA 4354 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 18m · 90% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 06mMCI 05:30 to RDU 11:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.