tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hilton Head Island → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 39%

  1. 14:03 HHH → 15:39 ORD
    AA 3862 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 34m · 69% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:20 ORD → 21:36 LGA
    AA 1724 · American · 2h 21m · 49% on time, 12.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (12.5% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip7h 38mHHH 14:03 to LGA 21:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.