tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hilton Head Island → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 53%

  1. 14:03 HHH → 15:39 ORD
    AA 3862 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 34m · 69% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:00 ORD → 22:29 LGA
    DL 1390 · Delta · 2h 29m · 64% on time, 10.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 111 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (10.3% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip8h 26mHHH 14:03 to LGA 22:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.