tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hilton Head Island → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 40%

  1. 14:03 HHH → 15:39 ORD
    AA 3862 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 34m · 69% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:00 ORD → 21:10 DCA
    UA 1369 · United · 2h 10m · 50% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip7h 07mHHH 14:03 to DCA 21:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.