tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Philadelphia via Charlotte: arrives on time 64%

  1. 08:49 XNA → 12:10 CLT
    AA 3871 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 21m · 91% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:02 CLT → 14:50 PHL
    AA 2573 · American · 1h 48m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 01mXNA 08:49 to PHL 14:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.