tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 63%

  1. 08:49 XNA → 12:10 CLT
    AA 3871 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 21m · 91% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:34 CLT → 16:13 DCA
    AA 2839 · American · 1h 39m · 66% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 99 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 24mXNA 08:49 to DCA 16:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.