tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Miami via Charlotte: arrives on time 70%

  1. 08:49 XNA → 12:10 CLT
    AA 3871 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 21m · 91% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:30 CLT → 15:38 MIA
    AA 2912 · American · 2h 08m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 49mXNA 08:49 to MIA 15:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.