tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Las Vegas via Phoenix: arrives on time 88%

  1. 08:00 MEM → 09:28 PHX
    AA 3879 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 28m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:24 PHX → 11:37 LAS
    AA 2037 · American · 1h 13m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 37mMEM 08:00 to LAS 11:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.