tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → New York via Miami: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:00 ILM → 07:54 MIA
    AA 3888 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 54m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:40 MIA → 11:43 LGA
    AA 1046 · American · 3h 03m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 43mILM 06:00 to LGA 11:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.