tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:03 BWI → 07:30 ORD
    AA 3889 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 27m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 32m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:02 ORD → 11:03 PHX
    UA 2225 · United · 4h 01m · 95% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 32m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip8h 00mBWI 06:03 to PHX 11:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.