tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Dallas-Fort Worth via Chicago: arrives on time 69%

  1. 05:40 TVC → 05:59 ORD
    AA 3909 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 19m · 94% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:00 ORD → 09:35 DFW
    AA 1902 · American · 2h 35m · 77% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 55mTVC 05:40 to DFW 09:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.