tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 72%

  1. 05:40 TVC → 05:59 ORD
    AA 3909 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 19m · 94% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:59 ORD → 10:15 LGA
    AA 2723 · American · 2h 16m · 79% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 35mTVC 05:40 to LGA 10:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.