tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Atlanta via Chicago: arrives on time 82%

  1. 05:40 TVC → 05:59 ORD
    AA 3909 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 19m · 94% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:45 ORD → 12:51 ATL
    DL 1178 · Delta · 2h 06m · 87% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 46m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 11mTVC 05:40 to ATL 12:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.