tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 73%

  1. 05:40 TVC → 05:59 ORD
    AA 3909 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 19m · 94% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:40 ORD → 12:06 EWR
    UA 2301 · United · 2h 26m · 78% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 71 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 26mTVC 05:40 to EWR 12:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.