tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Missoula → Minneapolis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 38%

  1. 06:45 MSO → 11:09 DFW
    AA 3924 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 24m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:55 DFW → 14:19 MSP
    AA 2145 · American · 2h 24m · 48% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Missoula). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip6h 34mMSO 06:45 to MSP 14:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.