tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Birmingham via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 21%

  1. 18:43 BNA → 21:00 DFW
    AA 3925 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 17m · 62% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:59 DFW → 23:46 BHM
    AA 3067 · American · 1h 47m · 37% on time, 5.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (37%).
Total trip5h 03mBNA 18:43 to BHM 23:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.