tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Nashville via Miami: arrives on time 36%

  1. 17:53 MCI → 22:05 MIA
    AA 3939 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 12m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:54 MIA → 00:16 BNA +1 day
    AA 1721 · American · 2h 21m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip6h 22mMCI 17:53 to BNA 00:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.