tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Minneapolis via Phoenix: arrives on time 76%

  1. 12:45 SJC → 14:41 PHX
    AA 3940 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 56m · 97% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 4h 10m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:51 PHX → 23:57 MSP
    AA 2820 · American · 3h 08m · 79% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 2 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 205 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 10m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip9h 14mSJC 12:45 to MSP 23:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.