tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tucson → Chicago via Phoenix: arrives on time 63%

  1. 11:55 TUS → 12:47 PHX
    AA 3958 · American, flown by Envoy · 52m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 51m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:38 PHX → 23:30 ORD
    AA 435 · American · 3h 52m · 65% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Tucson). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 246 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 51m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip9h 35mTUS 11:55 to ORD 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.