tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Miami via Chicago: arrives on time 38%

  1. 13:56 CMH → 14:31 ORD
    AA 3961 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 34m · 78% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 29m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 ORD → 22:17 MIA
    AA 2690 · American · 3h 17m · 45% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 164 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 29m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip8h 21mCMH 13:56 to MIA 22:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.