tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Atlanta via Chicago: arrives on time 36%

  1. 15:37 BHM → 18:00 ORD
    AA 3971 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 23m · 79% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 ORD → 22:05 ATL
    AA 2779 · American · 2h 04m · 51% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip5h 26mBHM 15:37 to ATL 22:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.