tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 46%

  1. 15:37 BHM → 18:00 ORD
    AA 3971 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 23m · 79% on time, 4.5% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:47 ORD → 21:59 CLT
    AA 689 · American · 2h 12m · 68% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (4.5% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 22mBHM 15:37 to CLT 21:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.