tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Birmingham via Chicago: arrives on time 68%

  1. 09:04 BNA → 11:00 ORD
    AA 3973 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 56m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:59 ORD → 14:04 BHM
    AA 3739 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 05m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 00mBNA 09:04 to BHM 14:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.