tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Buffalo via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 09:04 BNA → 11:00 ORD
    AA 3973 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 56m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:55 ORD → 16:41 BUF
    UA 2226 · United · 1h 46m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (Buffalo is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip6h 37mBNA 09:04 to BUF 16:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.