tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Hebron via Chicago: arrives on time 65%

  1. 09:04 BNA → 11:00 ORD
    AA 3973 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 56m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:54 ORD → 14:25 CVG
    AA 4720 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 31m · 76% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 21mBNA 09:04 to CVG 14:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.