tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Miami via Nashville: arrives on time 87%

  1. 06:40 ORD → 08:23 BNA
    AA 3973 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 43m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 16m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:39 BNA → 14:00 MIA
    AA 1521 · American · 2h 21m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 91 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 16m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 20mORD 06:40 to MIA 14:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.