tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Raleigh/Durham via Nashville: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:40 ORD → 08:23 BNA
    AA 3973 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 43m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 37m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:00 BNA → 14:42 RDU
    AA 4639 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 172 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 37m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 03mORD 06:40 to RDU 14:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.