tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 13:02 DTW → 13:34 ORD
    AA 3977 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 32m · 91% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 ORD → 19:21 PHX
    AA 1640 · American · 3h 51m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 191 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip9h 19mDTW 13:02 to PHX 19:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.