tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Birmingham via Chicago: arrives on time 57%

  1. 18:04 DTW → 18:51 ORD
    AA 3980 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 47m · 81% on time, 7.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 ORD → 23:28 BHM
    AA 3757 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 59m · 70% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Birmingham is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (7.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 25mDTW 18:04 to BHM 23:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.