tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Portland via Chicago: arrives on time 53%

  1. 18:04 DTW → 18:51 ORD
    AA 3980 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 47m · 81% on time, 7.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 10m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:01 ORD → 00:43 PWM +1 day
    AA 4403 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 35m · 65% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 10m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (7.4% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 32mDTW 18:04 to PWM 00:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.