tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Miami via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 35%

  1. 07:13 XNA → 08:45 DFW
    AA 3985 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 32m · 75% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:31 DFW → 13:29 MIA
    AA 2762 · American · 2h 58m · 70% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 16mXNA 07:13 to MIA 13:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.