tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Burbank → Sacramento via Phoenix: arrives on time 85%

  1. 09:16 BUR → 10:52 PHX
    AA 3992 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 36m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:35 PHX → 15:43 SMF
    AA 6354 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 08m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 27mBUR 09:16 to SMF 15:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.