tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Little Rock → Nashville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 17:38 LIT → 19:14 DFW
    AA 4008 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 36m · 61% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:12 DFW → 22:08 BNA
    AA 1500 · American · 1h 55m · 54% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip4h 29mLIT 17:38 to BNA 22:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.